Bulletin

Department of Disaster Management
Release Date:
Friday, 21 August 2015 - 9:45am

LOCATION: 13.7 degrees North, 47.4 degrees West
DISTANCE: ABOUT1169 MILES SOUTH EAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
MOVEMENT: WEST NORTH -WEST NEAR 10 MPH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 85 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1000 MB

At 5:00 a.m. the centre of Hurricane Danny was located near latitude 13.7 degrees north, longitude 47.4degrees west. Danny is moving towards the west near 10miles per hour (mph) and a track to west to the west-northwest is expected during the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph with higher gusts. Forecasters predict that some additional strengthening is likely today. However, the system is expected to start weakening on Saturday. 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb.

Although Danny has strengthened since the last forecast with sustained winds now near 85 mph, satellite imagery indicates no additional strengthening over the past two to three hours. Forecasters think Danny will begin to gradually weaken over the next 12 to 18 hours. 

Danny remains a very compact hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 10 miles while tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the centre. Although the tropical storm force wind radius could grow slightly by the time Danny reaches the Leeward Islands, confidence is high that it will remain a relatively small system.

Expected Impacts on Land

Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico: Power outages are likely due to increased winds possibly by late Monday or early Tuesday. Flooding and mudslides are also possible.

Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses and keep abreast of updates issued by the Department of Disaster Management.

Visit the DDM website at www.bviddm.com and subscribe for updates, visit our Facebook page at www.facebook.com/bvi.ddm or follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/BVIDDM

Author